Pedagogic Materials of the Warsaw Workshop (September 2-5, 2019)

Keynotes, specialised lectures and lectures were proposed within the framework of this worskhop as well as a short practical session on the basic Bayesian network theory. 

Keynotes & Specialised Lectures

  • Safety vs Security - Behrooz BAZARGAN-SABET (BRGM)                            Download
  • Risk Assessment Using Bayesian Approach - Abhinav GUPTA (CNEFS)    Download
  • Nuclear Power Plant Accidents - Alexander DUCHAC (IAEA)                       Download
  • PSA: Main Elements and Role - Ivan VRBANIC (APOSS)                             Download
  • Human Factors - Jessica JOHNSON (FORATOM)                                          Download

Lectures

The program of the workshop was structured around the Work Packages (WPs) activities of the NARSIS Project with two lectures planned per WP. Beforehand each WP had selected relevant topics for presentation and prepared a collective lecture.

WP1: External Hazards Characterization

  • Introduction to external hazard events - Background, parameters, and interactions  Download
  • Modelling external hazards:
    • Extreme value modelling  Download
    • Example of application of the French directive for Basic Nuclear Installations (BNI)  Download

WP2: Fragility assessment of main NPPs critical elements

  • Identification of critical elements within NPPs (screening and ranking methods) Download
  • Methods for the derivation of fragility functions Download

WP3: Integration and safety analysis

  • Latent weaknesses and root causes in the feedback of operating experience programmes  Download
  • Uncertainties and risk integration  Download

WP4: Applying and comparing various safety assessment approaches on a virtual reactor

  • Metamodels for reducing computational costs in probabilistic safety analyses  Download
  • Severe accident assessment with uncertainty and sensitivity analysis  Download

WP5: Supporting Tool for Severe Accident Management

  • Severe accident phenomenology and management  Download
  • Principles of severe accident risk analysis  Download

Practical Session

This practical session covered some basic Bayesian network theory, provided an example problem, and partly solved it in the software program “Netica”. The exercise and solution files are provided below.

Netica Software

The Netica software can be downloaded and installed from the below link. Please choose the correct download based on your OS (Windows or Mac OSX) and follow the corresponding set of instructions. You must be able to open the software and operate in the “Limited Mode” (free version).

https://www.norsys.com/download.html

THANK YOU

We are grateful to all the speakers and persons involved in the preparation of the lectures.

A special thanks go to our 3 external speakers Alexander DUCHAC (IAEA), Jessica JOHNSON (FORATOM) and Abhinav GUPTA (CNEFS). Their contributions have been essential.

Dernière mise à jour le 28.07.2020